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Next Best Action: Causal Constrained Offline RL for Business Action Targeting

[Uczenie maszynowe] Autorzy: Surya Ramachandiran, Yiming Li, Juan Mancilla-Caceres i 2 więcej

Next Best Action (NBA) systems must select among customer interventions (e.g., discounts, promotions, and lifecycle actions), maximize long-term economic value, satisfy complex operational constraints, and remain causally grounded. Existing approaches lack a rigorous framework for meeting these requirements jointly. We address this gap by formulating NBA as a Constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP). We then integrate off-policy causal correction of the estimated customer dynamics directly into the Linear Programming (LP) formulation of the CMDP. The resulting policy selects actions based on customer states to maximize long-term value while explicitly enforcing business guardrails. Furthermore, the LP formulation yields shadow prices that quantify the economic trade-offs of operational constraints (e.g., fairness and user welfare), enhancing policy interpretability. We validate our pr…

Kategoria arxiv
cs.LG
Kategoria
Uczenie maszynowe
Pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2610.26817v1

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